We are just five weeks away from the Breeders’ Cup World Championships in Keeneland, and the final rehearsals are taking place around the world. The Santa Anita Fall Competition opens Friday with a welcome sign for prospects in no less than 10 divisions, while Belmont-at-Aqueduct hosts superstar Life Is Good for Saturday’s Woodward Stakes.
Meanwhile, the Kentucky Derby 80-1 upsets Rich Strike enters Saturday’s Lukas Classic at Churchill Downs in search of a second-half recall. And, as if that weren’t enough, the world’s most prestigious international race, France’s Arc de Triomphe, will be renewed on Sunday and feature Irish star Luxembourg.
For those betting on Santa Anita this weekend, here are Betmix.com’s top local fall game stakes statistics over the past five years.
Percentage of favorite winning bets: 43.1%
Average winning odds: 4.66-1
Hot Trainers: Peter Miller (16-62, 26%), Richard Mandella (6-24, 25%), Bob Baffert (13-56, 23%), Mark Glatt (5-22, 23%), Simon Callaghan (6-29 , 21%)
Hot jockeys: Flavien Prat (24-89, 27%), Umberto Rispoli (7-26, 27%), Juan Hernandez (7-37, 19%)
Things to watch this week
Gulfstream Park is offering a mandatory payout in its Rainbow 6 bet on Saturday, joining the $400,000 series finals in the Florida Sire Stakes for 2-year-old colts and fillies. The pool is estimated at over $1.5 million. … Friday will be opening day at Laurel Park for the fall meeting, and the track has five stakes races on its Saturday card. … The full Sunday Arc de Triomphe card from Longchamp will be available for betting on Xpressbet and 1/ST BET. … The final leg of Canada’s triple crown, the Breeders’ Stakes, will cap off the weekend at Woodbine on Sunday.
Friday weekend fire starter
When the Maryland Jockey Club opens the Laurel Park fall meet on Friday, look for trainer Brittany Russell to come out blazing. His horses have won nearly 33% of their September-October starts at Laurel Park over the past five years. Russell’s only runner on Friday arrives in Race 4 with the #5 Bosserati. This is coming off a quick first win at the Timonium State Fair meeting.
1/ST BET App Top Disabling Tracks of the Week
The free 1/ST BET app allows you to apply millions of data points across dozens of Handicap Factors in seconds and place your bets immediately. Here’s where the AI got the most work last week in win percentage:
— 45% Belterra Park
— 35% Los Alamitos
— 35% Remington Park
— 34% City of Charles
— 34% thistle down
Tracks with most trusted favorites last week (by win pct.)
— 69% Belterra Park
— 55% Gulfstream Park
— 46% of Golden Gate fields
— 46% Belmont-à-Aqueduc
— 46% thistle down
Tracks that were longtime havens last week (most winners 10-1 or more)
— 9 Churchills
— 8 Almost Isle duvets
— 7 Belmont-à-Aqueduc
— 7 Indianapolis
– 7 Louisiana Stockings
America’s Hot Jockeys Last Week
— Angel Rodriguez (10-17, 59%) / Parx, Penn National, Delaware, Meadowlands
– Ramon Vasquez (9-21, 43%) / Los Alamitos
—Jamie Rodriguez (10-25, 40%) / Delaware, Pimlico
—Rafael Hernandez (8-21, 38%) / Woodbine
— Jose Alvarez (7-20, 35%) / Remington
America’s Hot Coaches Last Week
— Trout CR (5-6, 83%) / Remington
—Jamie Ness (13-36, 37%) / Pimlico, Delaware, Parx
– Karl Broberg (12-37, 32%) / Remington, Hawthorne, Louisiana Downs
— Mark Casse (6-20, 30%) / Gulfstream, Woodbine, Churchill, Belmont-at-Aqueduct
— Genaro Garcia (5-19, 26%) / Churchill, Indianapolis
Horse players who bet on 1/ST BET and Xpressbet in September can take advantage of a $5,000 Hit & Split promotion during Saturday’s Rainbow 6 at Gulfstream Park. Hit the bet and collect not only your pari-mutuel winnings, but also your $5,000 share with other winners who have bet on both platforms. The same promotion will be extended to the last Pick 4 at Santa Anita on Friday, Saturday and Sunday during the opening weekend. Tournament players have the $4,000 Opening Weekend Challenge at Santa Anita from Saturday to Sunday on Xpressbet.com.
— Stats courtesy of Betmix