Four Parlays For This NCAA Tournament Game

0

There are only three college basketball games left in the season. If you want to think big, now is the time.

Some might say betting on the same game is a scam – that they are not smart bets and you are wasting your time. These people hate having fun. There’s nothing wrong with taking a big hit on a fun game, and with only a few games left in the season, why not?

However, there are definitely some things to keep in mind when betting on SGPs. Above all, be careful about the size of the bets and be realistic with the bets.

The same game betting draw is the low risk/high reward element, but even if you only bet $1, you’re still wasting money if every SGP only has long legs and crazy odds that would take a miracle to hit.

With that in mind, let’s talk about building the SGP. I like to do multiple SGPs – all of which are basically built on the same players and/or stories, but increasing everyone’s odds.

For the Kansas/Villanova game, I bet four SGP for 1.13 units in total to win 41 units.

The first is the one I trust the most.


Eric Dixon 8+ Points

Dixon should support any use that is not absorbed by Collin Gillespie in Justin Moore’s absence.

Dixon is averaging 9.1 points per game this season while playing 27 minutes per game. With Moore gone, I expect both of those numbers to improve.

David McCormack Over 6.5 rebounds

McCormack is pulling down 17.5% of offensive rebounds and 18.8% of defensive rebounds. Of course, he’ll be competing with Jalen Wilson and others, as he has for much of the year.

But McCormack is averaging 6.8 rebounds per game this season. It may be a number he hasn’t surpassed in his last three games, but it makes me believe he’ll be even more determined around the basket.

Jermaine Samuels Less than 7.5 rebounds

Samuels may have topped 7.5 rebounds in seven of his last eight games, but without Moore, there’s reason to believe that won’t be the case here.

I expect Dixon to fill most of Moore’s use, and Samuels has had less than 7.5 rebounds in over 60% of games this season.

Christian Braun 2+ assists

Braun has had two or more assists in each of his last four games. With him leading the team in percentage of minutes since the start of the tournament, that should continue here as he reaches that number easily.

Odds: +800 (0.5 Units to Gain 4 Units)

If you want to do just one SGP, I only recommend this one. But if you’re looking for more fun…


Collin Gillespie 18+ Points

In Moore’s absence, I expect Gillespie to step in heavily to give Kansas at least one challenge en route to the national championship.

Gillespie leads the team in minutes percentage, effective field goal percentage and offensive rating, per Bart Torvik.

Eric Dixon 20+ points + rebounds + assists

Dixon and Gillespie are most likely to take over in Moore’s absence. I think that’s a number Dixon could pass easily if that’s the case.

Remy Martin 20+ points + rebounds + assists

If anyone wants to pull stats from the other players in this Final Four game, it’s going to be Remy Martin.

Martin had a three-game streak in the NCAA Tournament in which he posted more than 20 points, rebounds and assists. He scored over 20 points in two of them. This can be a risk with long odds, but Martin has proven his ability to top that number easily in the tournament.

Christian Braun 1+ assists

In all honesty, this is a filler line, Braun should get an assist in this game; it’s something he’s achieved in every game of the playoffs.

Ochai Agbai 20+ Points + Rebounds

Agbaji is averaging 18.9 points and 5.2 rebounds per game. He leads Kansas in scoring and can exceed that number of points only.

Odds: +2000 (0.25 units to gain 5.2 units)


Christian Braun 25+ points + rebounds + assists

Back to the fact that Braun is second on the team in minutes percentage while smashing 20 points, rebounds and assists largely due to expected foul shots.

Eric Dixon 20+ points + rebounds + assists

Again, Dixon could break that number on points alone, and I wouldn’t be surprised. The rebounds won’t be huge against Kansas, but every stat counts.

Villanova/Kansas double result

It’s a bit of a risky game, but Kansas has struggled in the first half all season and especially in the playoffs. Looks like a good price here on a quarter unit bet.

Odds: +3500 (0.25 Units to Gain 9 Units)


Remy Martin 20+ points + rebounds + assists

As stated earlier, Martin has proven his ability to have a big game in this tournament.

Eric Dixon 11+ Points

Filling in a sizable amount of Moore’s minutes should bring that number home.

David McCormack 9+ rebounds

As Jayhawk’s top rebounder, I don’t mind trying my luck here with the proven leader.

Collin Gillespie 30+ points + rebounds + assists

If Villanova has a chance in this game, he’ll need a big one from Gillespie. I think that’s something he can easily pull off.

Villanova +4.5

Even without Moore, I’ve been wrong too many times not to take the points with a Jay Wright team. He’s a great coach with an experienced squad of talented players, so I have no problem taking the +4.5 here.

Villanova 1H +5.5

Same idea as the full game spread, but Kansas consistently struggled in the first half. On another line, it seemed fair to get the bet over a payout of more than 20 units.

Odds: +17000 (0.13 Units to Gain 22.3 Units)

Share.

About Author

Comments are closed.