Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

0

the Boston Red Sox (7-8) conclude their 3-game set with the Tampa Bay Stingrays (8-7) Sunday at Tropicana Field with the first pitch scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The season series is tied 1-1. Boston won Game 1 of the series on Friday 4-3, then Tampa tied the series on Saturday with a 3-2 win when the Rays CF Kevin Kiermaier hit a 2-run home run late in the 10th.

Red Sox to Rays projected starters

HPL rich hill vs LHP Shane McClanahan

Hill (0-1, 7.29 ERA) lost its last outing 8-3 to the Minnesota Twins on Monday. He went 4 2/3 IP, allowing 4 ER on 6 H, 2 HR, 2 BB and 2 K.

  • vs. Rays on current roster: 2.60 FIP with .211 batting average (BA), .257 wOBA, .301 expected hit percentage (xSLG), 34.1 K% and 83 speed out (EV), 8 mph in 41 plate appearances (PA).

McClanahan (0-1, 2.40 ERA) earned a no-decision decision in Tampa’s 4-2 win over the Chicago Cubs on Monday. He went 6 IP, giving up 1 ER on 4 H and 0 BB with 9 K.

  • 2021 vs Red Sox: 1-1 with a 2.81 ERA (16 IP, 5 ER), 15 H, 5 BB and 15 K in 3 starts.
  • vs Red Sox on the current roster: 3.13 FIP with a .311 BA, .322 wOBA, .586 xSLG, 20.0 K% and 94.5 mph EV in 65 PA.

Red Sox to Rays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; to access USA TODAY sports betting hub for sports scores and odds for a full list. The rows were last updated at 1:36 a.m. ET.

  • Silver Line (ML): Red Sox +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Rays -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Race Line (RL)/Against Spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-150) | Rays -1.5 (+122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

USA TODAY Network Exclusive Offer: Deposit $10 or More, Get $200 in Instant Bet Credits on Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for terms and conditions. Place your legal online sports bets on Tipico. Let’s make it interesting. Bet now!

Picks and predictions from the Red Sox to the Rays

Prediction

Rays 6, Red Sox 1

silver line

LEAN RAYS (-180) since the implied win probability on this line is 64.3% and Tampa should win this game at least 70% of the time. But, I’m confident enough in the Rays to take their RL instead for a better payout.

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping gamers like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for $15 off a Draft Prep subscription or a full season. New customer offer; expires 04/30/2022. Subscribe today and start earning!

Run line/Against the spread

BET the RADIUS -1.5 (+122) for 1 unit because they have advantages in the three most important phases of baseball: throwing and pitching and hitting relief.

McClanahan has some elite stuff and would be a top-two starter in most MLB rotations while 18-year-old veteran Hill is definitely a back guy in the rotation.

The Rays lack a bunch of talented arms, but their bullpen still has a better xFIP rate, hard hit rate, WHIP, and K/BB than the Boston bullpen.

The Tampa squad is fifth in wRC+ and seventh in wOBA against left-handed pitchers while the Boston squad ranks 18th and 15th in those respective categories.

BET RADIUS -1.5 (+122).

More less

PAYMENT UNDER 7.5 (-107) because Tropicana Field is one of baseball’s most pitching-friendly parks, McClanahan is an All-Star-caliber pitcher, and the Red Sox-Rays have played a lot more against the underdogs in recent meetings.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbookthe official sports betting partner of Sportsbook Wire in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may derive revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence on such earnings and such earnings are in no way dependent or related to newsrooms or news coverage. To see Tipico.com for terms and conditions. 21+ only. Game problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

Share.

About Author

Comments are closed.